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Autonomous Vehicle Market Size, Share & Trends Estimation Report By Type Outlook (Semi-Autonomous, Fully Autonomous) By Application Outlook (Transportation, Defense) By Mobility Type(Shared, Personal) By Component Outlook (Hardware, Software, Services) By Vehicle Type (Passenger Cars, Commercial Vehicles) By Region, And Segment Forecasts, 2023 - 2030.
Market Overview:
The Global Autonomous Vehicle Market Was Estimated USD 94.43 Billion In 2022 And Is Projected To Hit Around USD 1300.845 Billion By 2030, Poised To Grow At A CAGR Of 38.8% From 2023 To 2030.
Self-driving cars, which are called "autonomous vehicles," are a big step forward for the car business. They have a lot of room to grow and help move car technology forward faster. In the next few years, the growth of the market is likely to be driven by getting money from the government, investing in digital infrastructure, and making rules that help the market grow.
Because technology is getting better, more and more companies are making cars that can drive themselves. Some ways that technology is getting better are adaptive algorithms, sensor processing, high-definition mapping, and better infrastructure. The infrastructure for self-driving cars is made up of a lot of different things that can be bought on the market. Autonomous cars can help people get around who can't drive or have certain disabilities. It makes traveling more comfortable and gives people more freedom to read, sleep, or even work, which makes them more productive. It will also make hiring drivers cheaper for businesses and taxis. People will be much more likely to buy these vehicles if they make roads safer and let more people use them for less money.
The self-driving car is made up of many sensors, like LiDAR and RADAR systems, that work together to do things without a driver. These sensors help with navigation by analyzing the situation, planning how to move, and controlling the path. Governments in places like the U.S., Germany, China, and Japan have started to use and accept self-driving cars because of rising safety concerns and better car technology. Because of these things, it's likely that the market will grow in the next few years.
COVID-19 Impact:
The overall performance of the automotive industry has stopped because of the Covid-19 pandemic. The mobility solution, like self-driving cars, will be slowed down by a global company's plan to stop technological progress and investment plans to keep costs down. A slowing economy around the world will also slow the growth of this market. According to Contrive Datum Insights the size of the global market for automotive vehicles was US$ 94,43 billion in 2022. Also, experts from all over the world are asked what they think about the future of self-driving cars. This is done to get a clearer, more accurate picture of how cars will change over the next ten years.
Market Dynamics:
Market Trends:
- Growing interest in electric cars
As worries about climate change and air pollution grow, so does the demand for electric cars around the world. Major automakers are putting a lot of money into making electric cars, and many countries are giving incentives to encourage people to buy them. This is likely to make a big difference in how many electric cars are sold over the next few years.
- The demand for luxury cars is growing
Especially in developing countries, people want luxury cars more and more. As people get richer and make more money, they look for more ways to show off their status and success. The best way to do this is with a luxury car. The market for cars as a whole is expected to grow at a slower rate than the market for luxury cars.
Driving Factors:
- Potential Advantages Promised by Autonomous Vehicle to Drive Market Demand
Given how futuristic autonomous cars are and how they can help businesses and the environment, it is expected that the global autonomous cars market will have a high CAGR. Since it can work without a human passenger, it's best for older people or people with disabilities who may have trouble driving regular cars or need extra help. It should make people less reliant on cars and give them more freedom.
Aside from the business benefits, a big reason why autonomous cars are likely to be in high demand is that people are becoming more interested in green ways to get around. A recent study found that smart and simultaneous adoption of autonomous vehicles can help cars reach their full potential. This means that autonomous cars could help reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. Things like electric vehicles, automated vehicles, and ride-sharing can help reduce traffic congestion, lower transportation costs, make cities easier to live in and walk around, and free up parking spots. All of this can be done quickly by the year 2050.
- Technology
Technology improvements are one of the main things driving the market for self-driving cars. Autonomous cars use a number of sensors and computer systems to move around safely. In the past few years, thanks to improvements in artificial intelligence and machine learning, these systems have become more complex. This has made it possible for self-driving cars to drive in more complicated situations, like when there's a lot of traffic or bad weather.
- What Customers Want
Changing consumer tastes are another thing that is driving the market for self-driving cars. More and more people are interested in self-driving cars because they are safe and easy to use. As technology for self-driving cars gets better, this trend is likely to keep going.
- Rules Set by the Government
Government rules are also contributing to the growth of the market for self-driving cars. Several countries, like the U.S. and China, have already passed laws and rules that make it possible for cars to drive themselves. The development and use of self-driving cars are getting a boost from these laws and rules.
Restraining Factors:
- Managing Weather Sensitivity to Restrict Market Expansion
At the moment, improving how autonomous vehicles respond to weather is the main concern of those who work in the global market. For example, a car may be much less efficient if it is driving through heavy rain or snow. It is hard for the sensors to find the road dividers because they can disappear when the weather is bad. If dirt, oil, water, or ice covers the lines on the road, the sensors and cameras may not work.
- Low Number of New Customer and Risk of Hackers
This supposed growth is slowing down because there aren't many new customers and there's a chance that hackers could get into the operation that's driving it. On the other hand, the Autonomous Vehicles Market may not grow as much in developing or emerging countries because the parts for autonomous vehicles are expensive.
- Absence of Necessary Infrastructure in Developing Nations
Autonomous and self-driving cars need clean, well-maintained roads, lane markings, lane centering, and GPS connectivity, among other things. Since highways don't have network connections, cars can't connect to the cloud. In developing countries like Mexico, Brazil, and India, the growth of I.T. infrastructure on highways is slower than in developed countries. Poor infrastructure outside of cities and a lack of driving training or discipline slow down the growth of the global market for autonomous cars.
Opportunities:
- Growing Research and Development to Open Doors for Higher Growth
Without a doubt, self-driving cars and other technological advances are the key to a sustainable future. This is the main reason why investors in both the public and private sectors keep putting more money into making cars that can run with less help from humans. Self-driving cars are already a reality in the world, and as long as investments keep going toward growth that makes sense, the global market can expect to benefit from these investments. At the moment, research is being done to make better software systems, radars, and sensors, as well as to speed up the way information is processed.
- Self-Driving Cars are Becoming More Popular in the Auto Industry and Use Less Gas and Battery Power.
Autonomous Vehicles Market is growing because self-driving cars use less gas and don't get into accidents because of human mistakes. The Autonomous Vehicles Market is also growing because self-driving cars are becoming more popular in the auto industry and use less gas and battery power.
Even though there was a pandemic, sales of self-driving cars went up. In 2020, about 11.2 million level 2 cars will be sold, which is 78 percent more than in 2019. To meet customer demand, automakers all over the world are making new models of level 2 autonomous cars.
- Infrastructure Connectivity
Because the development of self-driving cars is going so fast, many countries have passed laws and rules about Infrastructure Connectivity technology. The goal of these rules is to make sure that the next generation of cars are safe, secure, private, and responsible. For example, China's Ministry of Public Security, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and Ministry of Transport all have laws about how to handle self-driving cars before they are tested on the road. The main goal is to include self-driving cars in the country's overall strategy and to change the economy so that it favors a high-tech industrial model that includes self-driving cars and related technology. The U.S. Department of Transportation (USDOT) also worked with a large group of industry, academic, state, local, safety, advocacy, and transportation stakeholders to make the Automated Vehicles Comprehensive Plan. This plan aims to make sure that automated vehicle technology is developed, tested, and put into use in a safe way. The fast development of self-driving cars has led many countries to pass laws and rules about the technology. This is because government regulations are getting better and the regulatory environment is changing. The goal of these rules is to make sure that the newest models of cars are safe, secure, private, and not a liability.
Challenges:
- Infrastructure
One of the biggest problems with self-driving cars is that they don't have the infrastructure they need. For example, there aren't many places to charge electric cars, and even fewer that work with self-driving cars. Also, the road system we have now is not made for self-driving cars, which can cause problems or even accidents.
- Regulations
Another problem for self-driving cars is that there aren't any rules for them to follow. At the moment, there are no rules about how autonomous vehicles can be used, which can be dangerous. Also, there aren't many laws that deal with liability issues that could come up when self-driving cars get into accidents.
- Public Acceptance
The third challenge for self-driving cars is getting people to accept them. Many people still aren't sure if they can trust self-driving cars, which could slow down their widespread use. Also, the media has often made accidents involving self-driving cars into big stories, which can make people even less likely to trust them.
Strategic Development:
- In January 2023 - Foxconn, a company that makes parts, and NVIDIA Corporation announced that they would work together to make a platform for companies that make self-driving vehicles. The user of the platform should be able to cut costs and make more things with it.
- In November 2022 - The Indian Institute of Technology in Hyderabad (IITH) and Suzuki Motor Corporation worked together to create a new technology for self-driving cars (SMC). The new technology meets the needs of Indian traffic and uses an Advanced Driver Assistance System (ADAS) (ADAS).
- In January 2021 - Cruise and General Motors (GM) will work with Honda to expand the service for self-driving cars. Honda and G.M. and Cruise will work together on self-driving cars for Honda's autonomous vehicle mobility (MaaS) business in Japan. This is based on development and commercial agreements signed in October 2018 between the three companies.
- In July 2020 - Mobileye and Willer will announce their partnership for self-driving cars. Mobileye, which is owned by Intel, has announced a partnership with Willer, a company that offers transportation services. The plan is to start a service in Japan and the rest of Southeast Asia where robot taxis drive themselves.
Key Vendors:
Top Market players are
- Ford Motors
Ford is a leading automaker that is making a big push into EVs.
- Tesla
Tesla is the best-known and most influential electric vehicle company. The company has done a lot to make EVs more popular and bring down their prices. The Model 3 is the best-selling electric vehicle (EV) in the world, and Tesla's Autopilot system is at the forefront of autonomous driving technology.
- Alphabet
Alphabet, Inc. is a holding company that buys and runs other businesses. It runs through two parts: Google and Other Bets.
- Intel
Intel's goal is to shape the future of technology so that everyone can have a better future. Intel's work is at the heart of many new ideas because it pushes forward in fields like AI, analytics, and cloud-to-edge technology.
- Daimler Group
Mercedes-Benz is owned by the company Daimler, which is a major player in the luxury car market. The Mercedes-Benz B-Class Electric Drive is one of the EVs that the company sells. Daimler is also working on technology for self-driving cars and plans to release one by 2025.
- Baidu
Baidu is one of the best places to get services related to artificial intelligence (AI) and the Internet. Apollo, the company's main tech platform, is an open source platform for self-driving cars.
- Volkswagen
Volkswagen is another big automaker that is putting a lot of effort into electric vehicles (EVs). By 2025, the company plans to spend $50 billion on electric and self-driving cars. Audi's e-tron SUV and Porsche's Taycan sports car are two of Volkswagen's EVs.
- Jaguar
Jaguar Land Rover is one of a kind in the world of cars. Tata Motors has some of the best car designers in the world, an unbeatable understanding of what its customers will want from luxury cars in the future, a brand with a lot of emotional value, a strong sense of Britishness, and unbeatable access to leading global players in technology and sustainability through the Tata Group.
- BMW
BMW is another top luxury car company that is putting a lot of money into electric vehicles. The company sells several electric vehicles, such as the i3, i8, and X5. BMW is also working on technology for self-driving cars and plans to sell one by 2021.
- General Motors
General Motors is one of the biggest automakers in the world and a major player in the market for electric vehicles (EVs). The company has a variety of EVs, including the Chevrolet Bolt, which is the second best-selling EV after the Model 3. GM is also putting a lot of money into self-driving technology and plans to start a ride-hailing service with self-driving cars in 2019.
- Toyota
Toyota Motor Corp. makes and sells cars, car parts, and parts for cars. It does business in three different areas: Automotive, Financial Services, and Everything Else. The Automotive segment designs, makes, puts together, and sells cars, minivans, trucks, and parts and accessories for those vehicles.
- Audi AG
AUDI AG operates as a car dealer. The company sells new and used luxury cars to the public. The Company has customers all over the world.
Segmentation Analysis:
The market is segmented on the basis of type of autonomy, application, component, mobility and region.
By Type Outlook:
This market is split into two groups, called semi-autonomous and fully autonomous, based on the type of product. Most of the world's car market is in the semi-autonomous sector. The markets for semi-automatic and self-driving cars are different depending on how much automation there is (at levels 1, 2, and 3, respectively). The semi-autonomous part of the market is expected to grow the most quickly at levels 2 and 3. It's not very popular right now, but as technology improves, its penetration rate will be much higher than level 1.
Semi-autonomous vehicles have ADAS features like intelligent park assist and adaptive cruise control. Because of government rules about driver assistance systems, the intelligent park assist and automatic emergency braking subsegments are expected to grow the fastest. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) says that most cars will have automatic braking systems by the end of 2022.
- Semi-Autonomous
- Fully Autonomous
By Application Outlook:
In 2021, 93.6% of the global market was made up of the transportation market segment. During the time frame of the forecast, however, the defense sector is expected to grow the fastest. This is because there are more and more projects going on in places like North America. For example, Sikorsky and the U.S. Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) said in March 2020 that they would test autonomous flight software on commercial S-70 Black Hawk and S-76 helicopters. Depending on what they are used for, autonomous vehicles can be put into two groups: transportation and defense. In the coming years, the transportation segment is likely to make up a large part of the market for autonomous vehicles (AVs). This is because AVs are being used more and more in transportation. For example, in December 2019, Baidu, a company that makes and sells products and services related to the Internet, said that it had gotten 40 licenses that would let it test driverless cars. In the forecast period, the industrial segment of transportation is expected to grow at a high CAGR. This is because technology has gotten better and more governments around the world are becoming more open to the idea of self-driving cars.
Also, customers are drawn to autonomous vehicles for their businesses by the improved technology that different companies offer. Different top companies are working together to offer high-tech, self-driving experiences. For example, in March 2020, Toyota said that it is working with TomTom and Denso to show how to make fast, high-definition maps of the road. This will help improve autonomous driving and make it safer.
- Transportation
- Industrial
- Commercial
- Defense
By Type of Mobility:
Based on the type of mobility, it is expected that the commercial (shared) mobility segment will grow the most during the forecast period. Commercial mobility includes ride-sharing, robo-taxis, transporting goods, and other business activities. People who own cars or use "mobility as a service" are likely to have new problems when robo-taxis start showing up. Both regular cars and robo-taxis are being made using new ways to make things. In robo-taxis, cars are tested more than big trucks or buses. Waymo was one of the first companies to charge for rides in its self-driving Waymo One car, which also had a human driver as a backup. Waymo got tens of thousands of Chrysler Pacifica minivans from Chrysler. The goal of the agreement is to help companies that are building or working on robo-taxis come up with a new way to run their businesses. AutoX and Optimus Ride are two new companies that offer self-driving taxis.
Self-driving cars at levels 4 and 5 will help people get around together. Several companies are now spending money on making robo-taxis and self-driving cars that can be used for ride-sharing, ride-hailing, robo-taxis, and car-sharing. A robo-taxi combines the best parts of an autonomous vehicle and an e-cab hailing service by running without a driver and focusing on Mobility as a Service (MaaS). It should lower the costs of owning a fleet and make it easier to run one. It would give people a safe, easy, and cheap way to get around. Many original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) worked with suppliers of self-driving systems and fleet management to set up robo-taxi services. Since most of the progress in electric cars can be seen, the robo-taxi business may start with electric cars.
- Shared Mobility
- Personal Mobility
By Component Outlook:
The market is divided into Hardware, Software, and Service based on what it is made of. The Hardware segment has the biggest share of the market and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 36.27% over the next few years. Hardware parts are essential for making self-driving systems safer and more reliable. Together, these pieces of hardware make it possible for a car to drive itself. Driving assistance systems are made to make the driver more comfortable and to make the passengers and the environment around the car safer.
- Hardware
- Software
- Services
By Vehicle Type:
By the end of the forecast period, the segment of the global market for passenger cars is expected to have grown the most. This is because more people are choosing vehicles that are better for the environment.
Traffic jams, lack of parking spots, high car maintenance costs, and a general lack of space are some of the biggest problems urban cities face. Since people are moving to cities at an alarmingly high rate, the problems are likely to get worse. Because of these things, more people might choose cars that help them instead of making their lives harder.
- Passenger Cars
- Commercial Vehicles
Regional Insights:
Asia-market Pacific's was worth USD 0.72 billion in 2020. The region is the biggest market in the world because more and more people want high-tech features and are buying these kinds of cars. Automakers want to make more cars and improve technology quickly, so they plan to build more factories in developing countries like India and China.
For example, in 2017, Baidu said it would spend $1.5 billion over the next three years to speed up research and development of self-driving cars.
Also, the Chinese government is working very hard to get ahead of the competition when it comes to technology for self-driving cars. Also, governments in different countries are letting self-driving cars be tested on public roads as long as they follow some rules.
Europe has the second-largest market share for self-driving cars because big companies have spent a lot of money to develop new technologies. The British government wants to have self-driving cars on the roads by the end of 2021. It wants to change the rules so that self-driving cars can be made in the United Kingdom.
- North America
- US
- Canada
- Mexico
- Rest of North America
- Europe
- Germany
- France
- Italy
- Spain
- UK
- Nordic Countries
- Denmark
- Finland
- Iceland
- Sweden
- Norway
- Benelux Union
- Belgium
- The Netherlands
- Luxembourg
- Rest of Europe
- Asia-Pacific
- Japan
- China
- India
- Australia
- South Korea
- Southeast Asia
- Indonesia
- Thailand
- Malaysia
- Singapore
- Rest of Southeast Asia
- Rest of Asia-Pacific
- The Middle East & Africa
- Saudi Arabia
- UAE
- Egypt
- South Africa
- Rest of the Middle East & Africa
- Latin America
- Brazil
- Argentina
- Rest of Latin America
Scope of Report:
Report Attribute | Details |
Study Period | 2017-2030 |
Base Year | 2022 |
Estimated year | 2023 |
Forecast period | 2023-2030 |
Historic Period | 2017-2022 |
Units | Value (USD Billion) |
Growth Rate | CAGR of 38.8% from 2023 to 2030 |
By Type |
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By Application |
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By Mobility Type |
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By Component |
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By Vehicle Type |
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By Companies |
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Regional Scope |
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Reasons to Purchase this Report and Customization Scope |
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Conclusion:
- The report covers the market in its entirety, including its segmentation by type and application.
- The report depicts a variety of market participants, such as the market and potential market leaders.
- Significant factors that are anticipated to drive substantial market growth.
- The factors anticipated to expand the market share are also included in the report to offer market insights.
- The report also includes projections for the market's growth during the forecast period.
- The regional analysis is completed to explain the region's dominance in the global market.
- The factors impeding the expansion of the market are examined in depth.